Adrian Raftery

61 catalog papers. Identity-linked publications and additional name matches are distinguished below.

ORCID: 0000-0002-6589-301X

University of Washington

Publications

Multiple imputation of hierarchical nonlinear time series data with an application to school enrollment data — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2025
A privacy-preserved and high-utility synthesis strategy for risk-based stratified subgroups of the Canadian scleroderma patient registry data — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2025
Bayesian projections of total fertility rate conditional on the United Nations sustainable development goals — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2024
Balancing Inferential Integrity and Disclosure Risk Via Model Targeted Masking and Multiple Imputation — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2022
Probabilistic forecasting of the Arctic sea ice edge with contour modeling — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2021
Accounting for smoking in forecasting mortality and life expectancy — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2021
Consistency for the tree bootstrap in respondent-driven sampling — Biometrika 2020
Estimating and forecasting the smoking-attributable mortality fraction for both genders jointly in over 60 countries — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2020
Accounting for uncertainty about past values in probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for most countries — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2020
Estimating large correlation matrices for international migration — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2018
Comment: Extending the Latent Position Model for Networks — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2017
Model-based clustering with data correction for removing artifacts in gene expression data — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2017
Estimating population size using the network scale up method — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2015
Reconstructing Past Populations With Uncertainty From Fragmentary Data — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2013
Geostatistical Model Averaging for Locally Calibrated Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2011
Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2010
Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2010
Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 2007
Probabilistic projections of HIV prevalence using Bayesian melding — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2007
Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2007
Quality Control and Robust Estimation for cDNA Microarrays With Replicates — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2006
Variable Selection for Model-Based Clustering — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2006
Rejoinder — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2004
Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2004
Discussion — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2003
Model-Based Clustering, Discriminant Analysis, and Density Estimation — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2002
Latent Space Approaches to Social Network Analysis — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2002
Nearest-Neighbor Variance Estimation (NNVE) — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2002
Bayesian Multidimensional Scaling and Choice of Dimension — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2001
Inference for Deterministic Simulation Models: The Bayesian Melding Approach — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2000
Statistics in Sociology, 1950–2000 — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2000
Statistics in the Year 2000: Vignettes — Journal of the American Statistical Association 2000
Bayesian Morphology: Fast Unsupervised Bayesian Image Analysis — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1999
Detecting Features in Spatial Point Processes with Clutter via Model-Based Clustering — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1998
Nearest-Neighbor Clutter Removal for Estimating Features in Spatial Point Processes — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1998
Estimating Bowhead Whale Population Size and Rate of Increase from the 1993 Census — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1998
Estimating Bayes Factors via Posterior Simulation with the Laplace—Metropolis Estimator — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1997
Computing Bayes Factors by Combining Simulation and Asymptotic Approximations — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1997
Robust Bayesian Model Selection for Autoregressive Processes with Additive Outliers — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1996
Discharge Rates of Medicare Stroke Patients to Skilled Nursing Facilities: Bayesian Logistic Regression with Unobserved Heterogeneity — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1996
Local Adaptive Importance Sampling for Multivariate Densities with Strong Nonlinear Relationships — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1996
Modeling Flat Stretches, Bursts Outliers in Time Series Using Mixture Transition Distribution Models — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1996
Approximate Bayes factors and accounting for model uncertainty in generalised linear models — Biometrika 1996
Bayes Factors — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1995
Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1995
Rejoinder — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1995
Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1994
Approximate Bayesian Inference with the Weighted Likelihood Bootstrap — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1994
Time Series of Continuous Proportions — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1993
Prediction Rules for Exponential Family State Space Models — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1993
Ice Floe Identification in Satellite Images Using Mathematical Morphology and Clustering about Principal Curves — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1992
Inference for the binomial N parameter: A hierarchical Bayes approach — Biometrika 1988
Inference and Prediction for a General Order Statistic Model with Unknown Population Size — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1987
Comment — Journal of the American Statistical Association 1987
Bayes Factors for Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes with Vague Prior Information — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1986
A Note on Bayes Factors for Log-Linear Contingency Table Models with Vague Prior Information — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1986
Asymptotic Inference for a Change-Point Poisson Process — The Annals of Statistics 1986
Bayesian analysis of a Poisson process with a change-point — Biometrika 1986
A Model for High-Order Markov Chains — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1985
Comment in the Discussion of Professor Kingman's Paper “The Thrown String” — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1983 (name-matched, not ORCID-linked)
Discussion of Professor Kingman's Paper — Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 1982 (name-matched, not ORCID-linked)