Barbara Mellers

19 catalog papers. Identity-linked publications and additional name matches are distinguished below.

ORCID: 0000-0001-9869-5880

The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104

Publications

• Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting — Management Science 2021
• Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters — Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 2020
• Multiple Goals as Reference Points: One Failure Makes Everything Else Feel Worse — Management Science 2019
• Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition — Management Science 2017
• Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls — Management Science 2017
• Sacred versus Pseudo-sacred Values: How People Cope with Taboo Trade-Offs — American Economic Review 2017
• Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament — Psychological Science 2014
• Probability aggregation in time-series: Dynamic hierarchical modeling of sparse expert beliefs — The Annals of Applied Statistics 2014
• Pleasurable Surprises: A Cross-Cultural Study of Consumer Responses to Unexpected Incentives — Journal of Consumer Research 2010
• The Agony of Victory and Thrill of Defeat — Psychological Science 2004
• The Great Rationality Debate — Psychological Science 2002
• Do Frequency Representations Eliminate Conjunction Effects? An Exercise in Adversarial Collaboration — Psychological Science 2001
• Decision Affect Theory: Emotional Reactions to the Outcomes of Risky Options — Psychological Science 1997
• The Role of Task and Context in Preference Measurement — Psychological Science 1996
• Attribute Range and Response Range: Limits of Compatibility in Multiattribute Judgment — Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1995
• Representations of Risk Judgments — Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1994
• A change-of-process theory for contextual effects and preference reversals in risky decision making — Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1992
• Distributional theories of impression formation — Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1992
• Test of a distributional theory of intuitive numerical prediction — Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1986