Prediction of advanced level aviation performance criteria from early training and selection variables

Abstract

Considers the prediction problem in the case of designated aviators who are not successful in the replacement air group (RAG), or postgraduate, phase of instruction. The sample group consisted of 592 naval jet aviators assigned to RAG training in East and West Coast squadrons. Employing multiple correlation analysis to examine RAG completion as a remote criterion variable, undergraduate training grades significantly predicted RAG completion. Had the obtained regression weights been employed, the attrition rate of a cross-validation sample would have been reduced by 33.8%. Those skills in undergraduate training that were "mission oriented" as opposed to academic or flight skills contributed the most to the explained criterion variance. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved)