Some measured characteristics of Air Force weather forecasters and success in forecasting

Abstract

A sample of 92 weather forecasters completed the Minnesota Clerical Test, Minnesota Paper Form Board, Ohio State Psychological Exam, and the Strong Vocational Interest Blank. The forecasters were a highly select group, scoring in the 80th-90th percentile on the first three tests. In interests, they resembled a technical, skilled-trades interest group. A double cross-validation study indicated only one consistent predictor of forecasting accuracy, the Names section of the Minnesota Clerical Test, which correlated .31 with the criterion. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved)