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A Randomized Sequential Procedure to Determine the Number of Factors

Lorenzo Trapani

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2018 · Volume 113 · Issue 523

DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2017.1328359

Abstract

This article proposes a procedure to estimate the number of common factors k in a static approximate factor model. The building block of the analysis is the fact that the first k eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of the data diverge, while the others stay bounded. On the grounds of this, we propose a test for the null that the i th eigenvalue diverges, using a randomized test statistic based directly on the estimated eigenvalue. The test only requires minimal assumptions on the data, and no assumptions are required on factors, loadings or idiosyncratic errors. The randomized tests are then employed in a sequential procedure to determine k . Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

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