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Monetary Policy Spillovers through Invoicing Currencies

TONY ZHANG

The Journal of Finance · Tue · Volume 77 · Issue 1

DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13071

Abstract

This paper explores the role of trade invoicing currencies in the international spillover of monetary policy. Using high-frequency measures of Federal Reserve monetary policy shocks, I show that exchange rates, interest rates, and equity returns in countries with a larger share of dollar-invoiced imports systematically respond more to U.S. monetary policy. I document similar transmission effects from European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy shocks to countries with euro-invoiced imports. I rationalize these findings within a New Keynesian framework. As a result of these spillovers, domestic monetary policy should be less effective in countries with traded goods invoiced in foreign currencies.

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