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Admissibility of the usual confidence set for the mean of a univariate or bivariate normal population: the unknown variance case

Hannes Leeb, Paul Kabaila

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) · 2017 · Volume 79 · Issue 3

DOI: 10.1111/rssb.12186

Abstract

In the Gaussian linear regression model (with unknown mean and variance), we show that the standard confidence set for one or two regression coefficients is admissible in the sense of Joshi. This solves a long-standing open problem in mathematical statistics, and this has important implications on the performance of modern inference procedures post model selection or post shrinkage, particularly in situations where the number of parameters is larger than the sample size. As a technical contribution of independent interest, we introduce a new class of conjugate priors for the Gaussian location–scale model.

Keywords

Admissibility, Confidence set, Coverage probability, Linear regression, Size

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