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Learning effect in multinational diffusion of consumer durables: An exploratory investigation

Jaishankar Ganesh, V. Kumar, Velavan Subramaniam

Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science · 1997 · Volume 25 · Issue 3

DOI: 10.1177/0092070397253003

Abstract

Literature reflects that a product/technological innovation introduced later in a country results in faster diffusion as the consumers in the lag market have an opportunity to learn about the new product from the consumers in the lead market. A systematic understanding of the learning that takes place between consumers in two countries—a pair of lead and lag countries—can provide insights for a firm’s international market entry decisions. To provide a richer understanding of the underlying structure and patterns that govern this process, propositions linking factors (country characteristics, product/innovation characteristics, and time lag) to the learning process are drawn. Subsequently, these propositions are tested through an empirical investigation of the diffusion patterns of four consumer innovations in multiple European countries. The findings help provide some preliminary guidelines for manufacturers regarding selection of foreign markets and the timing and order-of-entry decisions.

Keywords

Mean Square Error, Product Category, Cellular Phone, Mean Absolute Deviation, Lead Market

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