Popular Consensus
Psychological Science · 2011 · Volume 22 · Issue 4
Abstract
Most climate experts agree that human carbon dioxide emissions cause anthropogenic global warming (AGW), reflected in increased global temperatures during every decade since 1970. Nonetheless, some public figures have claimed that AGW stopped in 1998. In a large experiment ( N = 200), participants extrapolated global climate data, presented graphically either as share prices or as temperatures. Irrespective of their attitudes toward AGW, and irrespective of presentation format, people judged the trend to be increasing. These results suggest that presentation of climate data can counter claims that AGW has stopped.
Keywords
climate change, graphical perception, judgmental forecasting
Enable JavaScript for citation tools and additional paper interactions.