Training samples in objective Bayesian model selection

The Annals of Statistics · 2004 · Volume 32 · Issue 3

Abstract

Central to several objective approaches to Bayesian model selection is the use of training samples (subsets of the data), so as to allow utilization of improper objective priors. The most common prescription for choosing training samples is to choose them to be as small as possible, subject to yielding proper posteriors; these are called minimal training samples. When data can vary widely in terms of either information content or impact on the improper priors, use of minimal training samples can be inadequate. Important examples include certain cases of discrete data, the presence of censored observations, and certain situations involving linear models and explanatory variables. Such situations require more sophisticated methods of choosing training samples. A variety of such methods are developed in this paper, and successfully applied in challenging situations.

Keywords

62B10, 62F03, 62F15, 62F40, 62N03, Censored data, expected posterior priors, Intrinsic Bayes factors, intrinsic priors, linear models, objective priors, training samples

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