A specification test for nonlinear nonstationary models

The Annals of Statistics · 2012 · Volume 40 · Issue 2

Abstract

We provide a limit theory for a general class of kernel smoothed U-statistics that may be used for specification testing in time series regression with nonstationary data. The test framework allows for linear and nonlinear models with endogenous regressors that have autoregressive unit roots or near unit roots. The limit theory for the specification test depends on the self-intersection local time of a Gaussian process. A new weak convergence result is developed for certain partial sums of functions involving nonstationary time series that converges to the intersection local time process. This result is of independent interest and is useful in other applications. Simulations examine the finite sample performance of the test.

Keywords

60F05, 62G07, 62M10, Intersection local time, kernel regression, nonlinear nonparametric model, nonstationary time series, specification tests, weak convergence

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