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Distributed inference for quantile regression processes

Stanislav Volgushev, Shih-Kang Chao, Guang Cheng

The Annals of Statistics · 2019 · Volume 47 · Issue 3

DOI: 10.1214/18-AOS1730

Abstract

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big data, we propose a two-step procedure: (i) estimate conditional quantile functions at different levels in a parallel computing environment; (ii) construct a conditional quantile regression process through projection based on these estimated quantile curves. Our general quantile regression framework covers both linear models with fixed or growing dimension and series approximation models. We prove that the proposed procedure does not sacrifice any statistical inferential accuracy provided that the number of distributed computing units and quantile levels are chosen properly. In particular, a sharp upper bound for the former and a sharp lower bound for the latter are derived to capture the minimal computational cost from a statistical perspective. As an important application, the statistical inference on conditional distribution functions is considered. Moreover, we propose computationally efficient approaches to conducting inference in the distributed estimation setting described above. Those approaches directly utilize the availability of estimators from subsamples and can be carried out at almost no additional computational cost. Simulations confirm our statistical inferential theory.

Keywords

62F12, 62G15, 62G20, B-spline estimation, conditional distribution function, distributed computing, divide-and-conquer, quantile regression process

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