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A sieve stochastic gradient descent estimator for online nonparametric regression in Sobolev ellipsoids

Tianyu Zhang, Noah Simon

The Annals of Statistics · 2022 · Volume 50 · Issue 5

DOI: 10.1214/22-AOS2212

Abstract

The goal of regression is to recover an unknown underlying function that best links a set of predictors to an outcome from noisy observations. In nonparametric regression, one assumes that the regression function belongs to a prespecified infinite-dimensional function space (the hypothesis space). In the online setting, when the observations come in a stream, it is computationally-preferable to iteratively update an estimate rather than refitting an entire model repeatedly. Inspired by nonparametric sieve estimation and stochastic approximation methods, we propose a sieve stochastic gradient descent estimator (Sieve-SGD) when the hypothesis space is a Sobolev ellipsoid. We show that Sieve-SGD has rate-optimal mean squared error (MSE) under a set of simple and direct conditions. The proposed estimator can be constructed with a low computational (time and space) expense: We also formally show that Sieve-SGD requires almost minimal memory usage among all statistically rate-optimal estimators.

Keywords

62G08, Nonparametric regression, online learning, Stochastic gradient descent

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