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Did the Housing Price Bubble Clobber Local Labor Market Job and Worker Flows When It Burst?

John M. Abowd, Lars Vilhuber

American Economic Review · 2012 · Volume 102 · Issue 3

DOI: 10.1257/aer.102.3.589

Abstract

We use the Census Bureau's Quarterly Workforce Indicators and the Federal Housing Finance Agency's House Price Indices to study the effects of the housing price bubble on local labor markets. We show that the 35 MSAs in the top decile of the house price boom were most severely impacted. Their stable job employment fell much more than the national average. Their real wage rates did not fall as fast as the national average. Accessions fell much faster than average while separations were constant. Job creations fell substantially while destructions rose slightly.

Keywords

Business Fluctuations, Cycles, Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration, Regional Labor Markets, Population, Neighborhood Characteristics, Housing Supply and Markets, Employment, Unemployment, Wages, Intergenerational Income Distribution, Aggregate Human Capital

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