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Compulsory Education and the Benefits of Schooling

Melvin Stephens Jr., Dou-Yan Yang

American Economic Review · 2014 · Volume 104 · Issue 6

DOI: 10.1257/aer.104.6.1777

Abstract

Causal estimates of the benefits of increased schooling using U.S. state schooling laws as instruments typically rely on specifications which assume common trends across states in the factors affecting different birth cohorts. Differential changes across states during this period, such as relative school quality improvements, suggest that this assumption may fail to hold. Across a number of outcomes including wages, unemployment, and divorce, we find that statistically significant causal estimates become insignificant and, in many instances, wrong-signed when allowing year of birth effects to vary across regions.

Keywords

State and Local Government: Health, Education, Welfare, Public Pensions, Analysis of Education, Education: Government Policy, Human Capital, Skills, Occupational Choice, Labor Productivity, Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Health, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: U.S., Canada: Pre-1913, Canada: 1913-

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