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The Effects of Parental and Sibling Incarceration: Evidence from Ohio

Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, Jeffrey Weaver

American Economic Review · 2021 · Volume 111 · Issue 9

DOI: 10.1257/aer.20190415

Abstract

Every year, millions of Americans experience the incarceration of a family member. Using 30 years of administrative data from Ohio and exploiting differing incarceration propensities of randomly assigned judges, this paper provides the first quasi-experimental estimates of the effects of parental and sibling incarceration in the United States. Parental incarceration has beneficial effects on some important outcomes for children, reducing their likelihood of incarceration by 4.9 percentage points and improving their adult neighborhood quality. While estimates on academic performance and teen parenthood are imprecise, we reject large positive or negative effects. Sibling incarceration leads to similar reductions in criminal activity.

Keywords

State and Local Government: Other Expenditure Categories, Fertility, Family Planning, Child Care, Children, Youth, Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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