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The Human Side of Structural Transformation

Tommaso Porzio, Federico Rossi, Gabriella Santangelo

American Economic Review · 2022 · Volume 112 · Issue 8

DOI: 10.1257/aer.20201157

Abstract

We document that nearly half of the global decline in agricultural employment was driven by new cohorts entering the labor market. A new dataset of policy reforms supports an interpretation of these cohort effects as human capital. Using a model of frictional labor reallocation, we conclude that human capital growth led to a sharp decline in the agricultural labor supply, accounting, at fixed prices, for 40 percent of the decrease in agricultural employment. This aggregate effect is halved in general equilibrium and it reflects the role of human capital as both a mediating factor and an independent driver of labor reallocation.

Keywords

Time Allocation and Labor Supply, Human Capital, Skills, Occupational Choice, Labor Productivity, Agricultural Labor Markets, Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change, Industrial Price Indices, Economic Development: Agriculture, Natural Resources, Energy, Environment, Other Primary Products, Industrialization, Manufacturing and Service Industries, Choice of Technology, Agriculture: General

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