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How Competitive Is the Stock Market? Theory, Evidence from Portfolios, and Implications for the Rise of Passive Investing

Valentin Haddad, Paul Huebner, Erik Loualiche

American Economic Review · 2025 · Volume 115 · Issue 3

DOI: 10.1257/aer.20230505

Abstract

The conventional wisdom in finance is that competition is fierce among investors: if a group changes its behavior, others adjust their strategies such that nothing happens to prices. We estimate a demand system with flexible strategic responses for institutional investors in the US stock market. When less aggressive traders surround an investor, she adjusts by trading more aggressively. However, this strategic reaction only counteracts two-thirds of the impact of the initial change in behavior. In light of these estimates, the rise in passive investing over the last 20 years has made the demand for individual stocks 11 percent more inelastic.

Keywords

Portfolio Choice, Investment Decisions, Information and Market Efficiency, Event Studies, Insider Trading, Pension Funds, Non-bank Financial Institutions, Financial Instruments, Institutional Investors, Behavioral Finance: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets [Neurofinance]

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