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Risk-Sharing Tests and Covariate Shocks: Drought, Floods, and Pests in Uganda

Ligon, Ethan

American Economic Review · 2026 · Volume 116 · Issue 9

DOI: 10.1257/aer.20240664

Abstract

Efficient risk sharing implies a simple factor structure for marginal utilities of expenditure (MUEs): Pareto weights divided by a common price. The standard approach infers MUEs from total expenditures, implicitly assuming homothetic preferences, unitary income elasticities, and identical price elasticities. Risk-sharing tests using total expenditures work for idiosyncratic shocks (budgets change, but not prices), but not "covariate" shocks (prices change). I describe all preferences that permit one to infer MUEs from expenditures and estimate nonhomothetic MUEs to test whether covariate shocks are shared efficiently in Uganda. This delivers sensible results; the standard approach suggests that droughts, floods, and pests are beneficial.

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