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On the Empirical Content of Quantal Response Equilibrium

Philip A. Haile, Ali Hortaçsu, Grigory Kosenok

American Economic Review · 2008 · Volume 98 · Issue 1

DOI: 10.1257/aer.98.1.180

Abstract

The quantal response equilibrium (QRE) notion of Richard D. McKelvey and Thomas R. Palfrey (1995) has recently attracted considerable attention, due in part to its widely documented ability to rationalize observed behavior in games played by experimental subjects. However, even with strong a priori restrictions on unobservables, QRE imposes no falsifiable restrictions: it can rationalize any distribution of behavior in any normal form game. After demonstrating this, we discuss several approaches to testing QRE under additional maintained assumptions. (JEL C72, D84)

Keywords

Noncooperative Games, Expectations, Speculations

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