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Strategic Leniency and Cartel Enforcement

Nathan H. Miller

American Economic Review · 2009 · Volume 99 · Issue 3

DOI: 10.1257/aer.99.3.750

Abstract

The cornerstone of cartel enforcement in the United States and elsewhere is a commitment to the lenient prosecution of early confessors. A burgeoning gametheoretical literature is ambiguous regarding the impacts of leniency. I develop a theoretical model of cartel behavior that provides empirical predictions and moment conditions, and apply the model to the complete set of indictments and information reports issued over a 20-year span. Statistical tests are consistent with the notion that leniency enhances deterrence and detection capabilities. The results have implications for market efficiency and enforcement efforts against cartels and other forms of organized crime. (JEL D43, L12, L13, K21)

Keywords

Market Structure and Pricing: Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection, Antitrust Law, Monopoly, Monopolization Strategies, Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

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