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Optimal Management of a Research and Development Project

Robert E. Lucas, Jr.

Management Science · 1971 · Volume 17 · Issue 11

DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.17.11.679

Abstract

This paper offers a series of models designed to aid in the evaluation and control of an individual research and development project. The project under consideration is assumed to involve costs incurred over a period [0, T ] and a return earned at T (or discounted to T ) when the project is completed. In two of the models discussed below, the completion time T is regarded as known; in two others, T is taken to be a random variable with a known distribution. In two models, the costs per unit of time of operating the project are assumed to be fixed; in the other two, costs are variable, with increased expenditure resulting in a decreased completion time. Each of the four possible combinations of assumptions is treated in a separate section. The last section contains a summary and discussion of results.

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