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A Statistical Theory for Pert in Which Completion Times of Activities are Inter-Dependent

Larry J. Ringer

Management Science · 1971 · Volume 17 · Issue 11

DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.17.11.717

Abstract

This paper presents a method for taking into account dependency among certain activities in PERT networks. The method presented can be used with the reduction algorithm presented by Hartley and Wortham [Hartley, H. O., Wortham, A. W., A statistical theory for PERT critical path analysis. Management Science , Vol. 12 No. 10 (June 1966), pp. B-469–B-481.]. The addition of dependency among the completion times for certain types of activities should be a valuable aid in sensitivity analyses of PERT networks.

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