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Stochastic Dominance Analysis Without the Independence Axiom

Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, Fabio Maccheroni, Massimo Marinacci

Management Science · 2017 · Volume 63 · Issue 4

DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2015.2388

Abstract

We characterize the consistency of a large class of nonexpected utility preferences (including mean-variance preferences and prospect theory preferences) with stochastic orders (for example, stochastic dominances of different degrees). Our characterization rests on a novel decision theoretic result that provides a behavioral interpretation of the set of all derivatives of the functional representing the decision maker’s preferences. As an illustration, we consider in some detail prospect theory and choice-acclimating preferences, two popular models of reference dependence under risk, and we show the incompatibility of loss aversion with prudence. This paper was accepted by James Smith, decision analysis .

Keywords

stochastic dominance, integral stochastic orders, nonexpected utility, risk aversion, multiutility representation, prospect theory, choice-acclimating personal equilibria

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