Minimal Frames and Transparent Frames for Risk, Time, and Uncertainty
Jonathan W. Leland, Mark Schneider, Nathaniel T. Wilcox
Management Science · 2019 · Volume 65 · Issue 9
Abstract
Behavior differs between transparent and nontransparent presentations of decisions, but “transparent presentation” has not been precisely defined. We formally define “transparent frames” for risk and time, establish their uniqueness, provide algorithms for constructing them, and compare them with “standard” presentation formats. A logic emerges for predicting systematic shifts in choice under risk and over time, and how violations of rational choice theory will depend on frames. An experiment verifies most of those predictions in choice under risk. We extend results to choice under uncertainty and also predict frame dependence of ambiguity aversion, a result supported by recent experimental evidence. This paper was accepted by Elke Weber, judgment and decision making.
Keywords
salience, framing effects, Allais paradox, Ellsberg paradox, present bias
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