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Problems in Predicting New Product Growth for Consumer Durables

Roger M. Heeler, Thomas P. Hustad

Management Science · 1980 · Volume 26 · Issue 10

DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.26.10.1007

Abstract

A popular model of new product diffusion is applied in an international setting. Several limitations on its use are noted: instability with limited data, environmental differences, and systematic under reporting of estimated time to attain peak level of first purchase sales.

Keywords

marketing: new products, forecasting, industries: electric/electronic

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