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Evaluating Forecast Performance in an Inventory Control System

Everette S. Gardner

Management Science · 1990 · Volume 36 · Issue 4

DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.36.4.490

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of forecasting on inventory decisions in a large physical distribution system. Alternative forecasting models are evaluated by developing tradeoff curves between inventory investment and customer service. The results demonstrate that the choice of forecasting model is an important factor in determining the amount of investment needed to support any target level of customer service.

Keywords

forecasting, time series, applications, inventory/production, parametric analysis, simulation: applications, military: logistics

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