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Managerial Applications of Neural Networks: The Case of Bank Failure Predictions

Kar Yan Tam, Melody Y. Kiang

Management Science · 1992 · Volume 38 · Issue 7

DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.38.7.926

Abstract

This paper introduces a neural-net approach to perform discriminant analysis in business research. A neural net represents a nonlinear discriminant function as a pattern of connections between its processing units. Using bank default data, the neural-net approach is compared with linear classifier, logistic regression, k NN, and ID3. Empirical results show that neural nets is a promising method of evaluating bank conditions in terms of predictive accuracy, adaptability, and robustness. Limitations of using neural nets as a general modeling tool are also discussed.

Keywords

neural networks, artificial intelligence, discriminant analysis, bank failure predictions

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