A “Parallel Approach” Path to Estimating Collision Risk During Simultaneous Landings
Management Science · 1999 · Volume 45 · Issue 3
Abstract
Airport capacity could increase if, even during inclement weather, independent landings could occur on parallel runways only about half a mile apart. A key question about such operations is whether the collision risk they entail is acceptably low. Pursuing that issue, we explore a method for estimating the chance that a plane on final approach during instrument flight conditions will “blunder” in a way that could imperil nearby aircraft. We argue that the method could yield an attractive combination of high estimation accuracy and relatively low cost.
Keywords
transportation, air, airports, collision risk, aviation safety, statistics
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