Effectiveness of Imperfect Decoys

Abstract

Mathematical relations are developed to express the effectiveness of decoys in a situation that requires the attacker to assign his weapons on the basis of imperfect classification of the targets. The analysis considers the effects of a number of pertinent parameters, such as the number of real and decoy targets and the enemy's classification ability and missile effectiveness, and calculates the probabilities of survival of real targets. A number of hypothetical examples are given to illustrate the application of the theory to practical problems.