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Technical Note—Bootstrap-based Budget Allocation for Nested Simulation

Kun Zhang, Guangwu Liu, Shiyu Wang

Operations Research · 2022 · Volume 70 · Issue 2

DOI: 10.1287/opre.2020.2071

Abstract

Simulation budget allocation is at the heart of a nested (also referred to as two-level) simulation approach to estimating functionals of a conditional expectation. In this paper, we propose a sample-driven budget allocation rule under a unified nested simulation framework that allows for different forms of functionals. The proposed method employs bootstrap sampling to guide an effective choice of outer- and inner-level sample sizes. Furthermore, we establish a central limit theorem for nested simulation estimators, and incorporate the sample-driven allocation rule into the construction of asymptotically valid confidence intervals (CIs). Effectiveness of the sample-driven allocation rule and validity of the constructed CIs are confirmed by numerical experiments.

Keywords

Simulation, nested simulation, budget allocation, bootstrap sampling, confidence intervals

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