Forecasting and Analysis of Corporate Financial Performance with an Econometric Model of the Firm

Abstract

Understanding and predicting various aspects of the financial performance of corporations have been undertaken almost entirely on the basis of assumed one-way statistical relationships which rely on some aspects of internal corporate behavior being exogenous to other aspects of behavior. When financial performance variables involved in such studies are jointly determined as parts of a simultaneous system of financial performance, this approach cannot be expected to produce useful results, because it is well known that obtained statistical results are biased and inconsistent.