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Democratization Under the Threat of Revolution: Evidence From the Great Reform Act of 1832

Toke S. Aidt, Raphaël Franck

Econometrica · 2015 · Volume 83 · Issue 2

DOI: 10.3982/ECTA11484

Abstract

We examine the link between the threat of violence and democratization in the context of the Great Reform Act passed by the British Parliament in 1832. We geo-reference the so-called Swing riots, which occurred between the 1830 and 1831 parliamentary elections, and compute the number of these riots that happened within a 10 km radius of the 244 English constituencies. Our empirical analysis relates this constituency-specific measure of the threat perceptions held by the 344,000 voters in the Unreformed Parliament to the share of seats won in each constituency by pro-reform politicians in 1831. We find that the Swing riots induced voters to vote for pro-reform politicians after experiencing first-hand the violence of the riots.

Keywords

Democratization, franchise extension, threat of revolution, Great Reform Act of 1832

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