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Expected Uncertain Utility Theory

Faruk Gul, Wolfgang Pesendorfer

Econometrica · 2014 · Volume 82 · Issue 1

DOI: 10.3982/ECTA9188

Abstract

We introduce and analyzeexpected uncertain utility(EUU)theory. A prior and aninterval utilitycharacterize an EUU decision maker. The decision maker transforms each uncertain prospect into aninterval-valuedprospect that assigns an interval of prizes to each state. She then ranks prospects according to their expected interval utilities. We define uncertainty aversion for EUU, use the EUU model to address the Ellsberg Paradox and other ambiguity evidence, and relate EUU theory to existing models.

Keywords

Ambiguity, Ellsberg, subjective probability

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