Collaboration in Development of New Drugs
Zhili Tian, Haresh Gurnani, Yi Xu
Production and Operations Management · 2021 · Volume 30 · Issue 11
Abstract
The development of a new drug is costly and uncertain. As such, pharmaceutical firms often collaborate to develop new drugs. We examine the conditions under which firms should collaborate rather than compete in new drug development. We model the collaboration vs. competition decision problem for two firms using a game-theoretic model and derive the collaboration conditions. Our study demonstrates that development cost and uncertainties in drug treatment efficacy and safety and patient enrollment drive the collaboration or competition decision for firms. We establish conditions based on probabilities of success of drug development, cost rates, and potential market shares under which the firms should collaborate, and show that there exist scenarios under which the firms actually collaborate on the lower efficacy drug. As such, firms need to take into consideration various factors such as the probability of success, the potential market share, and the development cost of each competing drug when determining whether to collaborate or compete in developing new drugs. Finally, we apply our analytical model to illustrate a case study involving collaboration between Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer.
Keywords
collaboration in drug development, new drug development management, new drug development competition, clinical trials, R&Dinvestment
Enable JavaScript for citation tools and additional paper interactions.