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Wait-Time Predictors for Customer Service Systems with Time-Varying Demand and Capacity

Rouba Ibrahim, Ward Whitt

Operations Research · 2011 · Volume 59 · Issue 5

DOI: 10.1287/opre.1110.0974

Abstract

We develop new, improved real-time delay predictors for many-server service systems with a time-varying arrival rate, a time-varying number of servers, and customer abandonment. We develop four new predictors, two of which exploit an established deterministic fluid approximation for a many-server queueing model with those features. These delay predictors can be used to make delay announcements. We use computer simulation to show that the proposed predictors outperform previous predictors.

Keywords

delay prediction, delay announcements, simulation, time-varying arrival rates, time-varying number of servers, nonstationary queues

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